It would seem a week in politics could be a lifetime. Last week I was musing about whether the Conservative government would survive. Then last week, the GG gave the Stephen Harper life, by proroguing parliament and setting up a showdown for late January. However, now, it looks like Stephane Dion is going sooner than later and Michael Ignatieff, is about to be crowned Liberal leader. Bob Rae must be sizzling away muttering something about some coalition.
It is so unfortunate for Canada. As many of you know I write for a very large American company. Every four years our American friends go through all kinds of gyrations electing their President. This year was no different with Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton fighting it out just for their party’s nomination. Several hundreds of millions of dollars later and after two years of political bafflegab we have a new President. Some Canadians sneer that we have elections in about 37 days and count the votes in three hours. However, the events of the last few weeks make us look like a Banana Republic.
You might also remember my musings about not voting next time there is a federal election. That had more to do with the process than the result. However, in the last few weeks I’ve had more than one colleague say they wouldn’t walk down the street to vote for any of them. Hmmmmmm.
It is hard to say how it will go. In fact, it’s a bit like the economy. I’ve got more than one laugh lately about me predicting the future. Last Monday I was a guest of the Thamesville Rotary club. Publisher John Gardiner was giving a wonderful rendition of some of his Christmas stories. I was John’s videographer as we plan to put his piece up on You Tube. So I was working the event instead of being the event like I often am. Even so, some folks walked up to me and asked what I thought of the economy. That was then followed up by laughter.
The point being I tell everybody that will listen if they know what is going to happen let me know. The economy has been the mother of all puzzles. However, I think you can now say that about our Canadian political world. When Stephen Harper was elected on October 14th, I was willing to spot his 2 years in office before an election. Now, however, I cannot see that. The political atmosphere has been so poisoned I can see Harper falling. Now, with a new Liberal leader seemingly in the works, our political environment is changing rapidly. Where once I thought the coalition might be handed power after a government defeat, I no longer believe that. I think we’ll go straight to an election, as unappetizing as that might seem.
Needless to say it might not get that far. Hopefully there will be a great coming together and everybody will sing Kum-Ba-Ya by February. I dunno, that doesn’t seem quite right. What I can see is the government being defeated and this time the GG takes no chances and forces the parties to fight it out in another election only four months since the last one. I cannot see her dilly-dallying around with “options” which might seem politically palatable to any party. That will cost another $300 million, but at least it’ll take the heat off the GG and back on the politicians.
Into this mix steps Michael Ignatieff, who may be leading the Liberals. His public enthusiasm for the coalition is akin to jumping off a cliff. Clearly he’s not enthused. That will be key as we go forward. In the previous Liberal leadership convention in 2006, other Liberals pillared him over his support for the war in Iraq. That’s pretty well blown over now, although you can bet Bob Rae supporters will bring it up.
You say Bob Rae? Uh-huh. Poor Bob Rae. I have a towering opinion of Bob Rae which goes back a very long way. I met him years ago before he was Premier of Ontario. I was also invited to a breakfast with him during the Liberal leadership on a farm near Sarnia Ontario. I’ve read his book, “The Three Questions”. So now he finds himself being a spoiler to the interim coronation of Michael Ignatieff. It’s simply not fair. The optics aren’t good either resembling something of a back room deal. Bob Rae deserves better and so does Canada.
Mix our uneven economy into the equation and this political uncertainty only makes it worse. We can do better Canada. Hopefully our Canadian politicians will wake up to that.
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